Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $451.21
- Potential payout
- $6.94K
- Potential profit
- $6.49K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
Polymarket Trader
saroxide
0xbb4ef375726d4dc9936af5efafdedbd42ef26664
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $451.21
- Realized PnL
- -$776.38
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.73K
- Potential profit
- $6.73K
- User PnL
- -$179.99
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- User PnL
- -$603.39
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$330
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $668.45
- Potential profit
- $668.45
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Bitcoin above $112000 on August 13?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$20
Chandler position
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett
Ends Apr 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $48.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Jandiroba position
Dern vs. Jandiroba
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $46.51
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Drake's "Which One" debut at #1 in its first week?
Ends Aug 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.43
Prochazka position
Prochazka vs. Hill
Ends Jan 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.55
Yes position
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Makhachev position
Makhachev vs. Moicano
Ends Jan 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Yes position
Will someone else be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.94
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$93.75
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$752.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 1.7% 4,574.19 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes 1.1% 909.09 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes 2.6% 2,693.46 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 11% 1,875 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Yes 15% 668.45 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 3,125 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 39% 770 shares
- Will the US strike Iran next?Yes 2.7% 195.13 shares
- Will the US strike Iran next?Yes 11.4% 861.28 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 18.4% 543.89 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 21.3% 470.36 shares