Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $31.61K
- Potential profit
- $29.83K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.64K
Polymarket Trader
Rufr
0xbb5d48f305a9c1cc42a838fbc8b85f629c2bfa33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.16K
- Realized PnL
- $43.4
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $23.35K
- Potential profit
- $22.18K
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.33K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $367.56
- Potential payout
- $5.65K
- Potential profit
- $5.29K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.33K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $67.58
- Potential payout
- $5.41K
- Potential profit
- $5.34K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$232.41
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $262.5
- Potential payout
- $4.57K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$520.66
Yes position
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $163.45
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $3.78K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$214.65
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$32.41
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $75.28
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$122.91
Yes position
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $142.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$67.39
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $743.77
- Potential profit
- $741.91
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$30.67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $81.94
- Potential payout
- $630.28
- Potential profit
- $548.34
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$157.2
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $42
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $358
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.3
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$17.3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.69
- Potential profit
- $87.69
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.78
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $30.18
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 36% 18.31 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes 0.2% 540 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes 1% 133 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 18% 6.83 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 1,576.33 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes 2.6% 1,145.17 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 20% 400 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.4% 743.76 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.4% 32.16 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 3.7% 32.16 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 60.2 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 1.3% 87.69 shares