Polymarket Trader

0xbb5ED77bb948487842c14d9918FC09BCee2eaD2c-1770932048631

0xbb5ed77bb948487842c14d9918fc09bcee2ead2c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $125.03
Realized PnL: $349.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $31.52
Potential payout: $32.05
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $31.37
Potential payout: $31.91
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.37

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31.66
Potential payout: $31.68
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $30.47
Potential payout: $31.58
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.58
Potential profit: $31.58
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.62
Potential profit: $20.62
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

BitBoy convicted?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72

Yes position

Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.66

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Up position

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Yes 93.6% 32.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

No 94% 31.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 4?

No 95% 31.58 shares
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

Yes 95.5% 31.41 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 94.7% 31.68 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 96% 31.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 95.9% 31.28 shares
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 2?

Down 96.2% 31.19 shares
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 2?

Up 96.2% 31.19 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?

Up 56% 32.25 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Up 49% 31.91 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Up 94% 31.91 shares