Polymarket Trader

0xbb65...1407

0xbb65656c281bcc3a08ab33cff730157329aa1407

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $254.71
Realized PnL: $507.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $558.08
Potential profit: $557.24
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$14.36

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $23.36
Potential payout: $445.04
Potential profit: $421.68
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$9.28

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $183.35
Potential profit: $158.59
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $134.09
Potential profit: $133.22
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $121.33
Potential profit: $120.6
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$9.1

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.61
Potential payout: $102.89
Potential profit: $97.28
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $64.57
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$7.9

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $51.58
Potential payout: $59.63
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $12.03
Potential payout: $48.12
Potential profit: $36.09
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $36.31
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$9.28

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $32.59
Potential profit: $28.52
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $31.76
Potential profit: $31.51
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $30.66
Potential payout: $31.04
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $10.9

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $6.89
Potential payout: $30.61
Potential profit: $23.72
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$3.11

No position

Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.01
Potential payout: $30.03
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $29.24
Potential profit: $27.05
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3.95

Yes position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $20.19
Potential profit: $17.77
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $18.54
Potential profit: $10.29
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $15.51
Potential payout: $16.29
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.47
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.97

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $12.02
Potential payout: $12.12
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $11.42
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $7.87
Potential payout: $11.17
Potential profit: $3.29
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.81

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.12

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.18

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

No position

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.71

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.34

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.14

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.32

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.91

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.62

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.54

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.72

No position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.65

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91

Yes position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 57% 17.54 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 2.12 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 99% 2.64 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 99% 1.94 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 99% 1.42 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 96% 4.05 shares
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 82% 12.2 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 102.89 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 96.3% 2.2 shares