Polymarket Trader

RealTima

0xbb6ac7f7384f5397cf8ed65b2fde3a4e9924aebc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.09K
Realized PnL: $633.65
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $16.5K
Potential profit: $15.49K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$558.91

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $36.5
Potential payout: $561.46
Potential profit: $524.97
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$56.65

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446.42
Potential profit: $446.42
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $23
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $177
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $149.93
Potential profit: $143.18
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$34.32

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.16
Potential profit: $127.16
User PnL: -$10.07

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$49.5

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.97
Potential profit: $67.97
User PnL: -$18.97

Yes position

Will Trump Media buy Ethereum in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.2
Potential profit: $64.2
User PnL: -$21.85

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.8
Potential profit: $60.8
User PnL: -$23.8

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $59
User PnL: -$8.85

Southern Miss position

Texas State vs. Southern Miss

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.63
Potential profit: $42.63
User PnL: -$25.58

130k position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.37
Potential profit: $32.37
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.47
Potential profit: $28.47
User PnL: -$10

Mariners position

Blue Jays vs. Mariners

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.19
Potential profit: $17.19
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.18
Potential profit: $11.18
User PnL: -$2.2

Red Wings position

Red Wings vs. Golden Knights

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.33
Potential profit: $10.33
User PnL: -$5.37

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.98
Potential profit: $5.98
User PnL: -$4.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.8

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.36

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.96

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.2

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.77

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.96

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

No position

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.82

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Sabres

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.11

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.23

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 38% 46.5 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 28% 35.71 shares
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Yes 62% 24.21 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 24% 61.96 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 30.9% 32.37 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 34% 5 shares
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

Yes 24% 9 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 42% 6.96 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 3.4% 189 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.4% 516.93 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 4.3% 232.56 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 18% 83.6 shares