No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $3.73K
- Potential payout
- $3.81K
- Potential profit
- $78.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $211
Polymarket Trader
Lamantinka
0xbb985dc6d168f4e830f5448dc295b83054c16d3c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.92K
- Realized PnL
- $7.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $243.55
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$88.21
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $686.64
- Potential payout
- $717.87
- Potential profit
- $31.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $36.64
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.3%
- Current value
- $289.67
- Potential payout
- $472.94
- Potential profit
- $183.26
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $49.67
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.8%
- Current value
- $191.17
- Potential payout
- $252.21
- Potential profit
- $61.03
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$8.83
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $212.29
- Potential profit
- $212.19
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.89
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $105.89
- Potential payout
- $151.27
- Potential profit
- $45.38
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $4.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.15K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $840.56
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625.38
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $574.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.25
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.73
Yes position
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.12
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.76
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.73
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $159.38
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.89
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.8
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $116.25
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.5
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.85
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.51
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.04
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.77
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.45
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 50.9% 117.88 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 51.1% 195.69 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 158.74 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 50.2% 159.36 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 92.8% 2,155.34 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 79.3% 252.21 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 253.31 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 2,079.47 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 90.5% 717.87 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.1% 331.65 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 96.3% 321.09 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 47.1% 212.29 shares