Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $7.66
- Potential payout
- $13.21
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Polymarket Trader
0xbb99...4b17
0xbb999f4e591139deef1d8133a9008c17f2e24b17
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $67.09
- Realized PnL
- $18.35
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $6.24
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $5.48
- Potential payout
- $12.75
- Potential profit
- $7.27
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $7.49
- Potential payout
- $12.59
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $5.99
- Potential payout
- $9.9
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $8.11
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $7.62
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $3.56
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $3.25
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.01
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.58
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.28
No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.1
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 42.4% 8.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 65% 7.62 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 75% 6.59 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes 33% 13 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 71% 12.59 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 28% 10.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 67% 14.97 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 79% 6.38 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No 78% 6.41 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 53% 9.17 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 13.01 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 44% 12.75 shares