No position
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.41K
- Potential profit
- $34.41K
- User PnL
- -$76.42
Polymarket Trader
Quantentunnel
0xbba4f4d3984e4a24052c3fc798a965103514f8c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.69K
- Realized PnL
- $15.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.01K
- Potential profit
- $31.01K
- User PnL
- -$226.03
No position
Will Hikaru Nakamura qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.33K
- Potential profit
- $22.33K
- User PnL
- -$32.76
Yes position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $7.07K
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $6.93K
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$99.92
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$77.5
Yes position
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.6%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $103.46
Yes position
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- User PnL
- -$69.25
Yes position
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $14.44
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.31
Yes position
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$340
Yes position
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$14.33
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
SpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$35.57
Yes position
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$30.52
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$48.59
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$16.12
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Barrios position
Barrios vs. Ramos
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $939.98
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $787.26
Gukesh position
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756.32
No position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.72
Yes position
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.3
No position
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.99
No position
Will Trump sign 0 executive orders on January 22?
Ends Jan 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.96
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.97
No position
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.99
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.31
No position
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.48
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.52
Yes position
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.71
No position
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.11
Yes position
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.74
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.28
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.76
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign 30 or more executive orders in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.8
Yes position
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 22% 36.36 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 12% 208.33 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 0.5% 10,000 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 10.87 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes 60% 166.67 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?Yes 7.3% 547.11 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?Yes 13.3% 753.26 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes 58.7% 340.89 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes 18% 27.78 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 86% 11.63 shares
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes 33.5% 44.78 shares