Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
WineLover
0xbba7d57bfb5916e0539f70b37b34d76dd974434c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $275
- Realized PnL
- $3.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $125
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $875
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $817.47
- Potential profit
- $817.47
- User PnL
- -$374.85
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.65
- Potential profit
- $666.65
- User PnL
- -$321.19
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $346.49
- Potential profit
- $346.49
- User PnL
- -$109.41
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$60.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $411.03
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.76
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.52
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $164.59
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.26
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.23
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.01
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Wednesday?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.18
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.43
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $101.92
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.04
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.71
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.56
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.03
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.18
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 593.08 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 11% 1,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No 60.3% 158.83 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No 69.1% 427.42 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No 53% 300 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?No 62% 500 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?No 48% 597.75 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No 31% 200 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No 46% 200 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No 44% 61 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No 43% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No 54% 84.83 shares