No position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Current value
- $46.82
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $4.46
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Polymarket Trader
dave.the-mechanic
0xbbad10c01d4991c023475cdd66ce8cdf02262270
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $134.05
- Realized PnL
- $4.02
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $41.53
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $41
- Potential payout
- $42.2
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $4.93
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 97.5% 51.28 shares
- Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes 93.2% 22.95 shares