Polymarket Trader

pompey

0xbbae107b4e6a5827b96f82e1fa6b48f742b613f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.42K
Realized PnL: -$2.8K
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $2.47K
User PnL: -$565.62

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $747.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $552.5
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.5

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $458.81
Potential payout: $826.68
Potential profit: $367.87
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $8.81

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $301.18
Potential payout: $676.81
Potential profit: $375.63
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $131.62

Yes position

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $207.12
Potential payout: $531.08
Potential profit: $323.96
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $7.12

Yes position

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408.01
Potential profit: $408.01
User PnL: -$81.96

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $352
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $48
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $187.54
Potential payout: $326.15
Potential profit: $138.62
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$12.46

Yes position

Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $87.43
Potential payout: $87.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $23.61

No position

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $47.84
Potential payout: $49.5
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.39

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.53

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.93

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.64

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.42

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.54

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$8.69

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and lose the 2026 Texas Senate General Election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.56

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.8%
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$23.05

Yes position

Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36.53

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.66

Yes position

Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60.72

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$261.5

Yes position

Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$280.25

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$410.64

No position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$477.12

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.57K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 28% 178.14 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

No 53% 1,300 shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Yes 91% 400 shares
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Yes 83% 40 shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 54% 499.99 shares
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 24% 498.67 shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 55.1% 326.69 shares
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Yes 61.3% 326.15 shares
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 37.7% 531.08 shares
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

No 94% 49.5 shares
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 38% 125.88 shares
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 91% 125.88 shares