No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $7.6K
- Potential payout
- $8.4K
- Potential profit
- $798
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $596.01
Polymarket Trader
0xBbaee97bB347f360046Fe5Ed0b93cF8631362d51-1768459644166
0xbbaee97bb347f360046fe5ed0b93cf8631362d51
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.26K
- Realized PnL
- $257.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $7.24K
- Potential payout
- $7.27K
- Potential profit
- $32.73
- User PnL
- $416.08
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $4.69K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $74.09
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.58K
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $239.7
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $84.3
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $914.02
- Potential payout
- $920
- Potential profit
- $5.98
- User PnL
- $26.32
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $799.98
- Potential profit
- $799.98
- User PnL
- -$602.98
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$471.93
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$459
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $198.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.1
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $9.68
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $9.27
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $3.95
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.34
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.32
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.1
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.85
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Will Trump Leave China on May 15?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 74.3% 25 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 76.5% 41 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 78.5% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 77.7% 200 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 75% 9.76 shares
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes 97.5% 75 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 32.9% 100 shares
- Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?No 99.2% 1,008.06 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 98.2% 1,000 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 78% 100 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 99.9% 100 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes 95% 450 shares