Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $25.69
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Polymarket Trader
Lyreweaver
0xbbb18c7784326b14a0aa0efb54ec3dc9d4fcc6be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.69
- Realized PnL
- $64.38
- Win rate
- 93.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.45
- Potential profit
- $22.45
- User PnL
- -$4.49
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.67
- Potential profit
- $9.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.65
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 27.78 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 43% 104.65 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.4% 45.64 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.2% 45.65 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8?Yes 99.7% 16.05 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8?Yes 41.3% 9.67 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8?Yes 4.5% 22.22 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 94.8% 23.21 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 97% 22.75 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.7% 22.75 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.3% 22.61 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.3% 22.61 shares