Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $19.12
- Potential payout
- $152.99
- Potential profit
- $133.87
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.32
Polymarket Trader
0x761582e5b144E7227500A34164B50b3D458bA7E9-1761844547452
0xbbc8a820129df7ec4495172a0ddfdebbb63dd249
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71
- Realized PnL
- $31.93
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $31.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $48.4
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42.45
- Multiplier
- 6.62x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $10.27
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.73
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$2.48
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.55
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $31.93
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 99.7% 109.99 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25.5% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 40% 30 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 17% 49.99 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 15% 53 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 49% 30 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 48% 18 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 75% 100 shares