Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $5.67
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $57.33
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Polymarket Trader
limittbets
0xbbd8da23ec29259a2d022cb75a0cdb68cba34470
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $139.81
- Realized PnL
- $26.26
- Win rate
- 61.1%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.93
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $12.32
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $15.68
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $18.84
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $20.35
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $21.99
- Potential profit
- $16.49
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.3
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $11.6
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $9.37
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.63
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.83
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Y
Yes position
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $14.98
- Potential profit
- $10.11
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $6.93
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $7.07
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
N
No position
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $8.54
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $3.36
N
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $6.72
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.4%
- Current value
- $7.59
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $9.12
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $6.93
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $4.07
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $1.98
Ferencvárosi TC position
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $6.99
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $2.15
Y
Yes position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $1.26
N
No position
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Over position
Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 3.5
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
UCAM Esports Club position
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Stefanos Tsitsipas position
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio Buse
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
No position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
Hynek Barton position
Bunschoten: Hynek Barton vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.18
N
No position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.08
Carlo Alberto Caniato position
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.40x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yunchaokete Bu position
Lincoln: Evan Zhu vs Yunchaokete Bu
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.47
FURIA Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.06
paiN position
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 34% 15 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes 50% 14 shares
- Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes 25% 20 shares
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasonEintracht Spandau 72% 8 shares
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No 57% 9 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No 97.2% 13.99 shares
- Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?No 81% 9 shares
- Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Yes 86% 6 shares
- Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?No 87% 7 shares
- Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes 39% 28 shares
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group CBilibili Gaming 60% 8 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes 10% 15 shares