No position
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.87
- Potential payout
- $3.87
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Polymarket Trader
SmartZ3
0xbbdff73116d1d0c89382747af254e6bb9dad4273
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.87
- Realized PnL
- $2.01
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bank of New York Mellon (BK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Airbnb reach $136 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Mystery drones shot down by Friday?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Big Balls removed from DOGE in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of December 8 above $305?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
John Brennan arrested by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Russian nuke in space in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the price of Solana be less than $140 on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on October 17 2025?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal today?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Rosie O'Donnell citizenship revoked in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
State wide recount in Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No 99.7% 3.87 shares
- French election called by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 3.53 shares
- French election called by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 3.54 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99.4% 4.33 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?No 95.6% 4.61 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?No 94.9% 4.62 shares
- Will David Choquehuanca be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No 96.4% 4.55 shares
- Will David Choquehuanca be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No 99.9% 4.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 14?No 98.7% 4.55 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on February 28?No 99.2% 4.49 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 56% and 57%?No 93.2% 4.77 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 56% and 57%?No 99.5% 4.77 shares