Polymarket Trader

GRAGRAPU

0xbc023ed0d55f81833bf97386d629b7a94f9069a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.3
Realized PnL: $1K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.82
Potential payout: $272.89
Potential profit: $269.07
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$6.18

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.25
Potential profit: $167.25
User PnL: -$114.49

Yes position

Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $18.45
Potential payout: $110.12
Potential profit: $91.68
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.51
Potential profit: $89.51
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.48
Potential profit: $48.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.06
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will Trump say "Pig" during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $39.26
Potential profit: $38.52
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Corn" during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $26.72
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on June 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.23
Potential profit: $31.23
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $14.81
Potential profit: $13.85
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.49

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.87

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.18

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.15

No position

Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.73

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.89

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.87

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Cabinet meeting?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.54

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.06

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.14

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fuel" during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.12

Yes position

Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.18

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.07

No position

Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 27% 14.81 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 27% 74.07 shares
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Yes 10.1% 297.71 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 50% 34 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 1.5% 71.42 shares
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $1.9B?

No 6% 55.55 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 357.14 shares
Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?

Yes 20.6% 48.48 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 66% 37.88 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 2.9% 1,308.85 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 6.9% 1,152.61 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 82% 103.31 shares