Polymarket Trader

locke

0xbc20696863823c5551d0732b5a3db97a5ea684a5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.01K
Realized PnL: $4.11K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $28.12
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.22K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$21.88

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $411.08
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $2.39K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $111.09

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $501.35
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.77
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$324.22

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $94.32
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5.68

No position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.3%
Current value: $530.75
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $569.25
Multiplier: 2.07x
User PnL: -$9.25

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$143

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $952.38
Potential profit: $950.95
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$198.57

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $865.6
Potential profit: $865.6
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $184.7
Potential payout: $811.85
Potential profit: $627.16
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: -$115.3

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425.53
Potential profit: $425.53
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $87.52
Potential payout: $419.76
Potential profit: $332.24
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$12.48

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $157.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $142.5
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$37.5

No position

Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.7%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $5.9
Potential profit: $3.45
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: $1.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $423.53

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.87

No position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $327.13

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.05

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $240

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.52

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.67

No position

Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $92.68

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.51

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.38

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $62.64

No position

Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.4

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $43.27

Yes position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $31.77

Yes position

Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

Yes position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 5% and 10% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$56.88

Yes position

Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$61.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 96.3% 200 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 50% 176.3 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 1,694.92 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 6,250 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 2,702.7 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 23.4% 683.56 shares
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 31.9% 163.41 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 32% 1,530.45 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 43% 384.61 shares
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Yes 43% 42.5 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

No 61% 260.3 shares