Polymarket Trader

onebitlost

0xbc2ce7bfc79c2c0811cac4d96a2bbc239394abc9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $903.06
Realized PnL: $548.71
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $840.91
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $674.24
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$159.09

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $14.04
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $370.58
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$35.96

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.5
Potential profit: $201.5
User PnL: -$8.06

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $15.11
Potential payout: $192.46
Potential profit: $177.35
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$34.89

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $33.01
Potential payout: $92.32
Potential profit: $59.32
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $15.93

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.34
Potential profit: $87.34
User PnL: -$60

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.37
Potential profit: $86.37
User PnL: -$40

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.27
Potential profit: $64.27
User PnL: -$51.42

Astralis position

Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.16
Potential profit: $55.16
User PnL: -$31.44

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.62
Potential profit: $52.62
User PnL: -$39.94

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.9
Potential profit: $36.9
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.48
Potential profit: $35.48
User PnL: -$10

Rune Eaters position

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$20

Power Rangers position

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $28.99
User PnL: -$20

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.85
Potential profit: $24.85
User PnL: -$19.88

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.32
Potential profit: $19.32
User PnL: -$9.85

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Senegal?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Inner Circle position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.08
Potential profit: $12.08
User PnL: -$5

9z position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.55

BIG position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.52

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Magic

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.97

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.03

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.5

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.52

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.49

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.41

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.17

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.85

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Heroic position

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.93

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.73

No position

Maduro mugshot released by January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.15

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.96

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $13.75

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance AND France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance AND Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

11.7% 34.7 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 4% 103.09 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

45.8% 0.24 shares
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rune Eaters 66% 30.3 shares
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Senegal?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 32% 15.63 shares
Spread: France (-2.5)

France 58% 17.24 shares
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Inner Circle 41.4% 12.08 shares
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs

Power Rangers 69% 28.99 shares
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Virtus.pro 79% 25.32 shares
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

MOUZ 65% 23.08 shares
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Nigma Galaxy 82% 3.68 shares