Yes position
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $973.86
- Potential profit
- $973.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0xbC30Da769cF5A5c4549Cf020B2FE456E115c59A3-1767694587457
0xbc30da769cf5a5c4549cf020b2fe456e115c59a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.95K
- Realized PnL
- $478.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $56.53
- Potential payout
- $450.45
- Potential profit
- $393.92
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $6.53
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $23.21
- Potential payout
- $377.36
- Potential profit
- $354.15
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $26.63
- Potential payout
- $362.32
- Potential profit
- $335.69
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $21.45
- Potential payout
- $348.84
- Potential profit
- $327.38
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$8.55
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $39.61
- Potential payout
- $337.08
- Potential profit
- $297.47
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $11.97
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $291.06
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $1.97
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $55.57
- Potential payout
- $301.2
- Potential profit
- $245.63
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $39.68
- Potential payout
- $290.7
- Potential profit
- $251.02
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$10.32
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $215.48
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $22.62
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $15.48
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.48
- Potential profit
- $229.48
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $208.8
- Potential payout
- $209.74
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $116.95
- Potential payout
- $122.52
- Potential profit
- $5.57
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $16.95
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $106.4
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $107.47
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $7.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $99.43
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $15.52
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $102.75
- Potential payout
- $109.96
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $104.95
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $104.3
- Potential payout
- $108.81
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $105.27
- Potential payout
- $106.5
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $100.53
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $101
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $100.32
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.59
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.66
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.18
No position
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.32
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.4
Norway position
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.93
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.88
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.18
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.43
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.71
No position
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.77
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.19
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $9.01
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.27
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 87% 114.94 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 90% 55.56 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 95% 105.26 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 62.5 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 95% 105.26 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 99.2% 109.89 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 94.4% 105.93 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 91% 109.89 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 98.3% 120.48 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 90% 55.56 shares
- Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes 32% 62.5 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No 91% 109.89 shares