Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $5.15K
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $279.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $152.38
Polymarket Trader
0xbc3e...6693
0xbc3e0e480f7f75b76b96bdc46ece11ab6f3f6693
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $8.01K
- Realized PnL
- $3.17K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $2.2K
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $69.26
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $206.68
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $650.8
- Potential payout
- $903.89
- Potential profit
- $253.09
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$145.21
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $94.19
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $10.85
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $9.83
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $7.64
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $6.45
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.47
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $591.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.7
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.57
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.25
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.21
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.68
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $127.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.76
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.06
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.03
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.04
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
No position
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.5% 4,323.14 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 94% 1,063.83 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 90.2% 1,108.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 23% 1,421.42 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 64% 562.35 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 40.9% 112 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 87% 1,601.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 14% 1,421.43 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 87% 1,143.68 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 82.4% 1,207.12 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares