Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $46.11
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $509.44
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- -$53.89
Polymarket Trader
0xbc43...2b23
0xbc43e3170ebbdab38189c782211772874da92b23
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $71.43
- Realized PnL
- -$448.47
- Win rate
- 63.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $23.32
- Potential payout
- $310.94
- Potential profit
- $287.62
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$26.43
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2.3
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.64
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.94
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.7
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.74
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $22.78
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.79
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.75
Yes position
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$128.44
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$519.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.5% 328.66 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 78% 450.35 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 67.9% 189.24 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 73.6% 705.32 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 72.9% 450.36 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 75.7% 328.66 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 36% 138.19 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 16% 310.94 shares
- Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?No 88.4% 113.09 shares
- Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?No 72.3% 172.99 shares
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?Yes 56.5% 88.5 shares
- Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?Yes 58.9% 169.77 shares