No position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $24.13
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $19.35
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $4.13
Polymarket Trader
mark.white
0xbc4960bb87de113a5d2449dbe923c87a560fd2eb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $95.48
- Realized PnL
- $0.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $20.97
- Potential payout
- $29.54
- Potential profit
- $8.57
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $25.38
- Potential profit
- $19.63
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $19.35
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $2.39
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.12
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Current value
- $10.02
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $10.08
- Potential payout
- $10.66
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 80.9% 12.35 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 92% 21.74 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No 67.7% 29.54 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No 46% 43.48 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 19.7% 25.38 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.8% 10.66 shares
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Over 94% 10.64 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 5.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7% 14.29 shares