No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.14K
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
Polymarket Trader
0xbc54...e808
0xbc5409afd95d727c2dfa4ec5f19c7996e10ee808
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $251.96
- Realized PnL
- -$131.18
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $251.96
- Potential payout
- $458.1
- Potential profit
- $206.15
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$64.99
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.4
- Potential profit
- $189.4
- User PnL
- -$94.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $209.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $175.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.03
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.4
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$453.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 50% 189.4 shares
- Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes 69.2% 458.1 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 21% 2,187.74 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 41% 585.37 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 42% 1,602.38 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 52.4% 1,332.07 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 53% 1,332.08 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 51.6% 1,415.9 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 28% 464.29 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 44.7% 951.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 65% 336.84 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 57% 336.84 shares