Polymarket Trader

0xbc58...1d4e

0xbc5894a6239caeab463572d93fd8fcc1d4511d4e

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $46.15
Realized PnL: $7.57
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.09
Potential profit: $8.09
User PnL: -$5.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.54
Potential profit: $5.54
User PnL: -$5.48

UNLV Runnin Rebels position

UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.53
Potential profit: $5.53
User PnL: -$5.47

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: -$4.56

No position

Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5.24
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.23
Potential profit: $5.23
User PnL: -$5.22

No position

Will Independence Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $4.97
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $4.97
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $4.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will "ONE PIECE" win Best Character Design at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Alabama Crimson Tide position

Missouri Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?

No 99.9% 4.97 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

No 99.5% 4.99 shares
Will Darryn Peterson be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

No 99.9% 4.93 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

No 99.5% 4.94 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

No 98.6% 4.96 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

No 98.8% 5.06 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

No 98.9% 5.08 shares
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?

Yes 99.7% 5.02 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

No 98.4% 5.06 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?

No 99.9% 4.99 shares
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

No 99.5% 5.02 shares
Will "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?

No 99% 5.03 shares