Polymarket Trader

chinexlo

0xbc6fba931718dafed0ebaad41e015bfe67094a5d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.33
Realized PnL: $12.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.18

Washington State position

San Diego vs. Washington State

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be 53°F or higher on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 95.9% 34 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 95.9% 29 shares
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

No 98.4% 33 shares
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

No 97.7% 36 shares
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

No 97.7% 36 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 12.8% 35 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 12.9% 36 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 86.4% 37 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Yes 3.7% 76 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 2.7% 35 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

No 5.7% 123 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 85.8% 37 shares