Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $51.45
- Potential payout
- $55.33
- Potential profit
- $3.87
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.45
Polymarket Trader
MenagerieofMarvels
0xbc80603a9741d23ecf532ccc07cf4a529e867c89
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.45
- Realized PnL
- $21.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Citadel Gaming position
LoL: NRG Esports vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.15
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Raptors position
Pelicans vs. Raptors
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Grizzlies
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Lakers position
Nets vs. Lakers
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90.4% 55.33 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 98% 53.06 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92% 38.13 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 81.3% 38.13 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 99.2% 32.42 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 98.7% 32.42 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 98.6% 31.44 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.4% 32.15 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.4% 32.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.3% 32.63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 32.63 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 31.84 shares