Polymarket Trader

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0xbc86dc0a429222a4bfbba22c819a0f4f6812b782

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.7
Realized PnL: $13.6
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.08
Potential profit: $91.08
User PnL: -$6.13

Phantom position

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $49.07
Potential profit: $9.57
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $30.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.44
Potential profit: $19.44
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $6.63
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $5.88
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $12.33
Potential profit: $7.34
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10.01
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 67.1%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $2.36
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Gentle Mates position

Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Procyon Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $0.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Phantom 14% 31.21 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?

Yes 13.4% 28.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Up 12% 8.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Up 24% 4.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Up 25% 4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Up 34% 2.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Down 43% 3.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Down 29% 3.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Down 40% 3.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Down 31% 3.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Down 39% 10.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Down 15% 6.67 shares