No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $6.09
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
edgarzaq
0xbc9427f1213663b5c89234bd5562f26438b8452f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.66
- Realized PnL
- $77.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $5.59
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $5.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $4.71
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $3.77
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $3.11
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $2.69
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.28
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.96
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.87
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.4% 1.8 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 84% 1.48 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 99.3% 2.41 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?No 99.7% 1,519.29 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?Yes 99.7% 200 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?Yes 99.7% 500 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?Yes 99.7% 500 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?Yes 99.6% 1,900 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 1.74 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?Yes 99.5% 3,276.55 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No 91% 5.59 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 83% 1.2 shares