Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $31.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $18.25
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Polymarket Trader
mornings
0xbc996fe52d1cb7aa310e8b44570bf8f608ba90d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.25
- Realized PnL
- $274.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.08
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.11
Yes position
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.45
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.78
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.67
Yes position
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.49
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.23
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.77
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.67
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $7.06
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Khamenei seen in public by March 2?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
No position
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?No 52% 6.25 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in June?Yes 11% 30 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in June?Yes 2.6% 29.32 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in June?Yes 2.3% 29.32 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in June?Yes 17% 30 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 81.8% 60 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 11% 20 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 90 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 6% 50 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?Yes 99% 19.99 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?Yes 79.7% 9.56 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 94% 15 shares