Polymarket Trader

ONDROGRONG

0xbca59187cfe286d77ab0db663a50506d164278eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.98
Realized PnL: $77.15
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.86
Potential profit: $267.86
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $82.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.63
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$19.29

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $40.68
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$15.23

Yes position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.58
Potential profit: $44.58
User PnL: -$20

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.42
Potential profit: $25.42
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.79

Yes position

Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.25

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.23

No position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$39.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

No 59% 25.42 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

No 37% 54.05 shares
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 44% 45.45 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 24% 83.33 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes 20% 100 shares
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Yes 44.9% 44.58 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?

Yes 95% 31.1 shares
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?

Yes 13.2% 28.52 shares
Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?

Yes 60.2% 33.25 shares