Polymarket Trader

anon123445665

0xbcb30a885832d451372caf3a0771877383909a5f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.23K
Realized PnL: $4.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $13.25K
Potential profit: $11.69K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $538.75

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $60.65
Potential payout: $4.18K
Potential profit: $4.12K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$119.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $2.47K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$560

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.09
Potential profit: $517.09
User PnL: -$104.7

Yes position

Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.86
Potential profit: $273.86
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Danilo Barbosa da Silva be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.28
Potential profit: $181.28
User PnL: -$85.2

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $101.76
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $15.88
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $103.21
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $5.49
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.21

No position

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $100.53
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $5.85
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $103.84
Potential payout: $104.1
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $3.84

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $102.69
Potential payout: $103.31
Potential profit: $0.62
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $101.37
Potential payout: $101.73
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Iran Nuke in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Plasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $963.32

Yes position

Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $708.55

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625.44

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.92

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.39

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.74

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.56

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.58

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.43

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.08

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.67

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.38

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.49

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.98

No position

Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.03

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

No position

Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.91

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.8

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.07

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.35

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.51

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.7% 2,500 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.8% 12,000 shares
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

Yes 75% 83.65 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 96.2% 202.52 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 95.6% 7,321.82 shares
Will Danilo Barbosa da Silva be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Yes 47% 212.77 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 92.8% 54.4 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Yes 81.9% 172.24 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 98.3% 5,087.66 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?

Yes 95.2% 5,249.73 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 94.3% 1,060.37 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 83% 1,204.73 shares