No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $599.82
- Potential payout
- $727.05
- Potential profit
- $127.23
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $238.53
Polymarket Trader
GalacticThief
0xbcb53509f08012480c963fac135e1b9f940c49f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.25K
- Realized PnL
- $378.97
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $535.49
- Potential payout
- $699.99
- Potential profit
- $164.5
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$345
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $113.96
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $286.03
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$6.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $191.12
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.19
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.98
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $128.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.75
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.82
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.39
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.52
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$30.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.47
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$50.14
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 30% 111.2 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 74% 100 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 79.6% 862.46 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 65.9% 600 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes 2.8% 200 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?Yes 69% 450 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes 31% 200 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 73% 425.3 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 62% 518.27 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 74% 320 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 97.9% 240.96 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 58% 198.28 shares