Yes position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
kakinho05
0xbccabead3dc380281087389215c34047254e3e77
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $596.78
- Realized PnL
- $106.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $493.06
- Potential payout
- $2.87K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 5.83x
- User PnL
- $35.9
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $72.84
- Potential payout
- $72.87
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.02
- Potential profit
- $68.02
- User PnL
- -$5.85
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.76
- Potential profit
- $51.76
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $30.88
- Potential payout
- $30.93
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.51
- Potential profit
- $21.51
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.33
- Potential profit
- $20.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?Yes 58.2% 32.19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 98.8% 72.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 97% 30.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 5?Yes 38% 19.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 5?Yes 38% 19.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 5?Yes 37% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?No 99.7% 100.27 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 99.8% 200.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No 99.9% 100.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No 96.7% 20.68 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 185.37 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 98.8% 101.18 shares