0xBCD20206536317F1573A1d38e745Bf8bb4Eb0eAc-1721677251315

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.5K
Potential profit: $32.5K
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $865.5
Potential payout: $14.79K
Potential profit: $13.93K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $365.51

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.5K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.88K
Potential profit: $6.88K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13K
Potential profit: $5.13K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.87K
Potential profit: $3.87K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$243

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$47.03

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $15.39
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$24.61

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $940
Potential profit: $940
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $70 March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $759.28
Potential profit: $759.28
User PnL: -$37.26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 6-12?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $726.8
Potential profit: $726.8
User PnL: -$23.26

Yes position

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $74.36
Potential payout: $619.68
Potential profit: $545.32
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$70.76

Yes position

Will Miguel Almirón score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $55.26
Potential payout: $581.72
Potential profit: $526.46
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $5.26

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $439.73
Potential profit: $439.73
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Darwin Nunez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $67.27
Potential payout: $354.03
Potential profit: $286.77
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $7.27

No position

Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Marc Guéhi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $44.4
Potential payout: $231.27
Potential profit: $186.86
Multiplier: 5.21x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.65
Potential profit: $196.65
User PnL: -$40.98

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $13.42
Potential payout: $191.76
Potential profit: $178.33
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$38.58

Yes position

Will Yassine Bounou record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $149.32
Potential profit: $146.18
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$7.86

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.65
Potential profit: $132.65
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 on April 1?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.25

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $305.68

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $296.67

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: $242

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $154.01

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.74

No position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.6

Yes position

Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?

Ends Jul 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.31

No position

Will another company be accused of insider trading?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.47

No position

Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.05

No position

US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Egan Bernal win the Tour de France 2025?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.94

Yes position

Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?