weather8888

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $40.2
Potential profit: $39.9
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $39.09
Potential profit: $35.77
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $25.08
Potential profit: $24.34
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.37
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $4.49
Potential payout: $19.95
Potential profit: $15.46
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $19.09
Potential profit: $16.7
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $16.55
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $12.54
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $15.6
Potential profit: $14.78
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $11.92
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $13.88
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $12.29
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 39°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $13.94
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $13.21
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $11.44
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $12.72
Potential profit: $12.29
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.69
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.19
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.11
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $10.9
Potential profit: $10.3
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $10.88
Potential profit: $10.12
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.76
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.86
Potential profit: $8.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.58
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 16.9%
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 27?