LHBMJW

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.06
Potential profit: $104.06
User PnL: -$21.94

Yes position

Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $17.39
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $76.61
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $19.2
Potential payout: $93
Potential profit: $73.8
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $17.63
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $57.38
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $45.57
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $16.43
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $43.96
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $15.05
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$5.02

No position

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 51.1%
Current value: $28.11
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $26.9
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $30.77
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $23.23
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$3.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $22.88
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $29.12
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$4.68

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $18.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $31.75
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$1.75

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $29.65
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $19.36
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$10.08

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $45.22
Potential profit: $41.6
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $18.27
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $23.73
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$15.11

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.54
Potential profit: $35.54
User PnL: -$12.29

Red Wings position

Red Wings vs. Panthers

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.99
Potential profit: $33.99
User PnL: -$19.37

Yes position

Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 81.1%
Current value: $25.95
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $6.05
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $6.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.65
Potential profit: $30.65
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $16.08
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $7.92
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$0.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.76

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.73

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.32

No position

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.48

Athletics position

Texas Rangers vs. Athletics

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.63

No position

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.83

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.21

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.4

Ben Shelton position

BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.04

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.7

HOTU position

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Rangers position

Rangers vs. Lightning

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.84

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.85

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.33

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.68

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.44

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.52

No position

Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.27

TDK position

Counter-Strike: TDK vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.12

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.11

Oxuji Esports position

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage