Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $524.25
- Potential payout
- $4.19K
- Potential profit
- $3.67K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$764.97
Polymarket Trader
Kiphawk
0xbce94365afd3167772db7b2b24bd16eb794fb1ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $983.91
- Realized PnL
- $948.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $8.82
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$414.44
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $93.25
- Potential payout
- $777.08
- Potential profit
- $683.83
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$56.75
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.83
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $67.99
- Potential payout
- $247.24
- Potential profit
- $179.25
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$35.85
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.21
- Potential profit
- $184.21
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $182.75
- Potential profit
- $182.47
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$39.73
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $104.22
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $16.27
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.22
Yes position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $116.55
- Potential profit
- $116.14
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.59
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $64.1
- Potential payout
- $64.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $39.1
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.15
- Potential profit
- $46.15
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $16.04
- Potential payout
- $37.75
- Potential profit
- $21.71
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $6.04
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $9.83
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $31.25
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.25
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $24.3
- Potential payout
- $25.13
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $14.3
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $23.63
- Potential profit
- $23.42
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$7.36
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.7
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$10.3
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.69
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.05
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.43
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.11
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.15
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.44
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.11
Yes position
Ethereum all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.44
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.62
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.01
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.22
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.48
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.31
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
Yes position
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.74
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.37
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.59
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No 19% 184.21 shares
- Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 32% 62.5 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 55% 90.91 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 55% 90.91 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 43% 68.18 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 75% 43.88 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 57% 20 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 19.3% 777.08 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 44% 68.18 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?No 39.8% 25.13 shares