Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $34.38K
- Potential payout
- $259.46K
- Potential profit
- $225.08K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- $10.59K
Polymarket Trader
yuhyuhyuhy352352
0xbd0477e08d82d35a855ff19644a88a9213d8fbb0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.79K
- Realized PnL
- $340.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $459.32
- Potential payout
- $183.73K
- Potential profit
- $183.27K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.3K
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.13K
- Potential profit
- $138.13K
- User PnL
- -$10.46K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.51K
- Potential profit
- $114.51K
- User PnL
- -$18.54K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.49K
- Potential profit
- $97.49K
- User PnL
- -$3.94K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.27K
- Potential profit
- $95.27K
- User PnL
- -$3.46K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.73K
- Potential profit
- $92.73K
- User PnL
- -$9.29K
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $589.41
- Potential payout
- $90.68K
- Potential profit
- $90.09K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$731.69
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.55K
- Potential profit
- $73.55K
- User PnL
- -$8.81K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $60.47K
- Potential profit
- $57.75K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.97K
Y
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.75K
- Potential profit
- $51.75K
- User PnL
- -$4.29K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.96K
- Potential profit
- $48.96K
- User PnL
- -$12.41K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.99K
- Potential profit
- $43.99K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.6K
- Potential profit
- $43.6K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.67K
- Potential profit
- $42.67K
- User PnL
- -$4.93K
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $37.97K
- Potential profit
- $36.28K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$2.33K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.92K
- Potential profit
- $37.92K
- User PnL
- -$13.17K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.39K
- Potential profit
- $34.39K
- User PnL
- -$962.34
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.75K
- Potential profit
- $33.75K
- User PnL
- -$4.81K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.7K
- Potential profit
- $31.7K
- User PnL
- -$9.36K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $3.95K
- Potential payout
- $31.61K
- Potential profit
- $27.66K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.38K
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.08K
- Potential profit
- $30.08K
- User PnL
- -$519.95
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.14K
- Potential profit
- $29.14K
- User PnL
- -$778.26
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.13K
- Potential profit
- $29.13K
- User PnL
- -$5.21K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.38K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.38K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.14K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.11K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.07K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.34K
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.82K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.38K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.05K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.93K
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.92K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77K
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44K
No position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96K
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.29K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.6% 1,105.4 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 33.1% 468 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 21.9% 2,602.75 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 20.4% 1,003.41 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 71.1% 257.78 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 18.6% 2,206 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 39% 803.9 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 52.7% 5,451.48 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 5% 7,751.39 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 4.9% 6,555 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 3.8% 1,219.24 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19.5% 911.41 shares