Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $120.91
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $20.91
Polymarket Trader
conundrum118
0xbd05737c77253930e82b4d2bb7f2c970c2574d8a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $602.56
- Realized PnL
- $27.84
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $216.85
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $870.11
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$58.15
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $717.14
- Potential profit
- $717.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.7%
- Current value
- $102.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $297.4
- Multiplier
- 3.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $162.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $237.8
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $8.2
Yes position
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $101
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Yes position
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.48
- Potential profit
- $99.48
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.89
No position
Will Ketanji Brown Jackson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.6
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.05
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
Yes position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.56
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.27
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.4
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.09
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- -$27.27
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.31
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$68.63
No position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 33% 100 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 5.6% 100 shares
- Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 3.5% 51 shares
- Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 0.6% 400 shares
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 0.7% 600 shares
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 1.5% 400 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 1.4% 400 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 26.5% 266.99 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.5% 400 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 4.9% 421.45 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 9.1% 52 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 14.4% 421.44 shares