Yes position
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Polymarket Trader
Perfectly-Spherical-Gum-Boat
0xbd0d0c4bfc88dad382674c9d5ae483dae8261fb4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $466.68
- Realized PnL
- $3.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $57.66
- Potential payout
- $57.75
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $49.95
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $40.71
- Potential payout
- $40.85
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $39.78
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.64
- Potential profit
- $28.64
- User PnL
- -$15.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.89
- Potential profit
- $24.89
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $20.15
- Potential payout
- $20.2
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $19.95
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C or higher on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $19.93
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 40°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $19.94
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.98
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $19.85
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $16.56
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $11.04
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.29
- Potential payout
- $11.3
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.13
- Potential profit
- $10.13
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 13.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 28?No 99.8% 10.85 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 5 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.3% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on June 28?No 99.8% 7.76 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?Yes 94% 6 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?Yes 92% 8 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?Yes 99% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 28?No 99.8% 11.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 28?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 29?No 99.8% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on June 29?No 99.1% 5 shares