davebateman

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $31.28
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $11.39
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $544.17
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $7.44
Potential payout: $354.44
Potential profit: $347
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $7.17
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $210.22
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Austria?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $8.83
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $147.42
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $6.78
Potential payout: $150.76
Potential profit: $143.97
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.25
Potential profit: $149.25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $99.01
Potential profit: $92.13
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$3.12

Elisha Ellison position

UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $8.59
Potential payout: $93.35
Potential profit: $84.77
Multiplier: 10.87x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $9.55
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $81.36
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Algeria?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.69
Potential profit: $80.69
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $66.54
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.68
Potential profit: $70.68
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $64.52
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Algeria?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.15

Yes position

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.9

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $32.31

Yes position

Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.15

Yes position

DR Congo to score first vs. England?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.38

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.29

Over position

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 14.2%
Multiplier: 7.04x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Cody Garbrandt position

UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 29.7%
Multiplier: 3.37x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.31

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.82

No position

Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?