Polymarket Trader

0xbD2c65c7Cc6350576691f2C86150Ba14F52b31F4-1767898870536

0xbd2c65c7cc6350576691f2c86150ba14f52b31f4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $957.65
Realized PnL: $1.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $176.4
Potential payout: $980
Potential profit: $803.6
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$203.6

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $949.98
Potential profit: $949.98
User PnL: -$340.19

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $754.11
Potential profit: $754.11
User PnL: -$267.51

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $203.42
Potential payout: $621.12
Potential profit: $417.7
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $103.42

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $212.8
Potential payout: $559.99
Potential profit: $347.2
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $439.6
Potential profit: $439.6
User PnL: -$101.11

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $41.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $358.6
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$18.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $320
User PnL: -$99.2

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $320
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $198.8
Potential payout: $240.96
Potential profit: $42.17
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $14.25
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $175.75
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$88.35

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$59

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $14.7
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $125.3
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$85.3

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-04?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$98.4

100k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$42.9

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $55.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $44.5
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.6
Potential profit: $97.6
User PnL: -$19.52

Yes position

Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.5
Potential profit: $82.5
User PnL: -$18.98

No position

US bank failure by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$76

No position

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$13.6

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $40.39
Potential payout: $78.43
Potential profit: $38.04
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$23.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.35

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Jungleman position

Mariano vs Jungleman: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.46

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.82

No position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.02

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.59

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.63

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.15

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

No position

Another Elon baby by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.99

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

No position

Will Togi win at Hustler Casino on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $15.94

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

No position

Will Trump say "Banana Republic" in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-08?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.04

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.99

Yes position

France leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 51% 78.43 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 83% 240.96 shares
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Yes 94.1% 30 shares
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals AND Michael Olise: 1+ goals AND France vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

7.2% 67.5 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 78% 76.92 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 44% 45.45 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 77% 259.74 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 61% 81.97 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 72% 138.89 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 90% 111.11 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 29.41 shares