No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $194.28
- Potential payout
- $392.48
- Potential profit
- $198.2
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$9.81
Polymarket Trader
thunderV2
0xbd318a62d20524ba9d5bed838af57c1a05067355
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $194.28
- Realized PnL
- $132.96
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.66
- Potential profit
- $114.66
- User PnL
- -$50.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.3
- Potential profit
- $65.3
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.6
- Potential profit
- $47.6
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.96
- Potential profit
- $37.96
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.77
- Potential profit
- $35.77
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.91
- Potential profit
- $25.91
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.91
- Potential profit
- $25.91
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.91
- Potential profit
- $25.91
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.42
- Potential profit
- $24.42
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.36
- Potential profit
- $22.36
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.35
- Potential profit
- $22.35
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.86
- Potential profit
- $18.86
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.86
- Potential profit
- $18.86
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.8
- Potential profit
- $17.8
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $17.54
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.73
- Potential profit
- $16.73
- User PnL
- -$6.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $15.87
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $15.87
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.76
- Potential profit
- $15.76
- User PnL
- -$4.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $86.03
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.06
Yes position
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $8.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Atlanta Braves position
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Ends Oct 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.62x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 19 and 20 cents?Yes 23% 47.22 shares
- Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 61% 88.03 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?No 67% 10 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?No 67% 30.73 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 42% 5 shares
- Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Yes 89% 176.15 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 37.8% 665.55 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 26.9% 235.95 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 71% 54.74 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 10.2% 166.33 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes 83% 23.36 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 10.4% 81.44 shares