Polymarket Trader

0xBD3d538183d71a8F283e743f60B04C3C571B742F-1717360027506

0xbd3d538183d71a8f283e743f60b04c3c571b742f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.3K
Realized PnL: $21.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $244.74
Potential payout: $25.76K
Potential profit: $25.52K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$322.64

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.25K
Potential profit: $19.25K
User PnL: -$9.64K

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $54.17
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $8.28K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $4.17

No position

US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.81K
Potential profit: $5.81K
User PnL: -$665.96

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $955.7
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $471.15

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.09K
User PnL: -$950

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$56.75

No position

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $680.65
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $391.24
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $107.8

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $542.04
Potential profit: $542.04
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $77.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $422.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$172.5

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389.44
Potential profit: $389.44
User PnL: -$62.31

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287.88
Potential profit: $287.88
User PnL: -$71.97

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.45
Potential profit: $262.45
User PnL: -$81.36

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.53
Potential profit: $224.53
User PnL: -$42.66

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.73
Potential profit: $211.73
User PnL: -$31.76

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.47
Potential profit: $209.47
User PnL: -$35.61

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.8
Potential profit: $197.8
User PnL: -$69.23

Yes position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.77
Potential profit: $195.77
User PnL: -$50.9

Yes position

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.78
Potential profit: $189.78
User PnL: -$34.16

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.56
Potential profit: $179.56
User PnL: -$32.32

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.81
Potential profit: $170.81
User PnL: -$61.49

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.5
Potential profit: $165.5
User PnL: -$36.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21K

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49K

Yes position

Will Everton win on 2025-05-25?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-25?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $842.08

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $802.18

Yes position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $733.84

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.76

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $632.75

Yes position

Will England win the UEFA Women's Euro?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $623.25

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.59

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $572.06

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483

Yes position

Will West Ham win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455

No position

Will there be another debate?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.73

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $377

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.48

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260

Yes position

Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Flavio Cobolli 18% 110.33 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 46% 2,173.91 shares
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

No 5% 376 shares
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

No 5% 135 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 29% 262.37 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 35% 67.38 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 36.6% 1,366.78 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Yes 53.3% 499.99 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 57.2% 1,297.72 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 31.8% 2,759.05 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 11% 397.73 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 50% 759.05 shares