Polymarket Trader

pm-maio-2026

0xbd417cdfc83824b2cd31e4428bc1a67c241ba6de

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.17K
Realized PnL: $2.59K
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $344.7
Potential payout: $957.49
Potential profit: $612.8
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$86.44

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $359.44
Potential payout: $764.77
Potential profit: $405.33
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$31.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $55.94
Potential payout: $658.06
Potential profit: $602.13
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$16.36

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $48.67
Potential payout: $648.87
Potential profit: $600.21
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$7.56

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $410.33
Potential payout: $522.72
Potential profit: $112.38
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $23.01

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $125.8
Potential payout: $457.47
Potential profit: $331.66
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$7.05

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $19.71
Potential payout: $394.24
Potential profit: $374.53
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$4.69

Yes position

Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $56.31
Potential payout: $375.43
Potential profit: $319.11
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $23.39
Potential payout: $359.87
Potential profit: $336.48
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $40.51
Potential payout: $352.23
Potential profit: $311.72
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $19.83
Potential payout: $330.47
Potential profit: $310.64
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $53.4
Potential payout: $323.63
Potential profit: $270.23
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $16.76
Potential payout: $304.64
Potential profit: $287.89
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $12.45
Potential payout: $264.79
Potential profit: $252.35
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $180.69
Potential payout: $263.78
Potential profit: $83.09
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $59.43
Potential payout: $237.72
Potential profit: $178.29
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $85.82
Potential payout: $235.13
Potential profit: $149.31
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $40.32
Potential payout: $230.37
Potential profit: $190.06
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $195.57
Potential profit: $186.28
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$1.21

No position

Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $75.89
Potential payout: $178.56
Potential profit: $102.67
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$5.28

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $162.92
Potential profit: $156.32
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $19.61
Potential payout: $156.89
Potential profit: $137.28
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $24.07
Potential payout: $145.91
Potential profit: $121.83
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.73

No position

Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $83.8
Potential payout: $143.24
Potential profit: $59.44
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $2.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $2.98K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $2.73K

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.6%
Multiplier: 3.63x
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $521.18

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.4%
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: $400.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $315.17

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $311.53

Yes position

Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $129

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53%
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $125.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64%
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$20.83

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$44.6

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72.5%
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$90.92

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$103.25

No position

Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$127

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$172.13

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$191

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$213.59

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$349.79

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.7%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$497.33

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.3%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$754.95

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$813.51

No position

Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$904.76

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$980.44

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$988.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 5% 18.77 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 8 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 57% 100 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 52% 16.18 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 29% 10.97 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 23% 5.72 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 47% 6.86 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 100 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 14.57 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 33% 8.78 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 46% 100 shares