Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $83.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $214.68
Polymarket Trader
akmalid
0xbd51fa4437f63d7977c61200914700692975730a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.89K
- Realized PnL
- $1.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $603.95
- Potential payout
- $789.47
- Potential profit
- $185.53
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $632.03
- Potential payout
- $659.39
- Potential profit
- $27.36
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $32.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $439.66
- Potential profit
- $439.66
- User PnL
- -$102.01
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Current value
- $210.38
- Potential payout
- $267.83
- Potential profit
- $57.45
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $10.38
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $204.43
- Potential payout
- $260.43
- Potential profit
- $55.99
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$5.57
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $29.27
- Potential payout
- $73.17
- Potential profit
- $43.9
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.21
- Potential profit
- $27.21
- User PnL
- -$23.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.04
- Potential profit
- $24.04
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Truist Championship?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.29
- Potential profit
- $15.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $566.21
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.43
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.31
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.78
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.17
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $39.74
Yes position
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
Yes position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 80.6% 260.43 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 41% 73.17 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 37.9% 628.57 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes 91% 659.39 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 77.4% 1,034.02 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes 96.9% 1,382.97 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No 76% 789.47 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 75.6% 264.41 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes 94% 1,382.98 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 74.7% 267.83 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 79.5% 628.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 23.2% 439.66 shares