Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xbd53B35FF85Bdd2dc17AFc4Eda7B0c66Da5e8dD1-1769673229254
0xbd53b35ff85bdd2dc17afc4eda7b0c66da5e8dd1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $789.59
- Realized PnL
- $579.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $340
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $25.01
- Potential payout
- $312.66
- Potential profit
- $287.65
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$28.65
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $290.15
- Potential profit
- $290.15
- User PnL
- -$227.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $153
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $47
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $160
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $189
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$121.9
No position
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$8.5
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $46.25
- Potential payout
- $114.19
- Potential profit
- $67.94
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$8.15
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $73
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $57.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.55
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $46.8
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $13.2
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $17.4
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $39.83
- Potential payout
- $50.1
- Potential profit
- $10.27
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $29.76
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $20.25
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $4.53
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $42.6
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $33.5
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$25.2
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$13.2
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $16.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9.32
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.79
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.06
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.14
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.93
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.96
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.78
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.8
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.94
No position
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.72
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
France position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: France (-2.5)France 56% 8.86 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 69% 7 shares
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 30% 10 shares
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 58% 10 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 100 shares
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No 95.8% 50 shares
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No 95.9% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?Yes 38% 10 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 42.3% 20 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 85% 10 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 56.3% 10 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 65% 2.04 shares