Polymarket Trader

justin.courtright

0xbd5cca971b76cbbe9308451cde76e5fe6a528408

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.39K
Realized PnL: $2.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.46K
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $199.48
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $358.76

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $986.85
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$260.04

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $48.17
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$6.83

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $259.15
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$359.85

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $233.33
Potential payout: $848.47
Potential profit: $615.14
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$46.67

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$400

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $685.71
Potential profit: $685.71
User PnL: -$240

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $612.59
Potential profit: $612.59
User PnL: -$306.3

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $509.93
Potential payout: $610.69
Potential profit: $100.76
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $106.87

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $576.53
Potential profit: $576.53
User PnL: -$440.56

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $216.26
Potential payout: $533.98
Potential profit: $317.72
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$61.41

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $446.82
Potential payout: $458.28
Potential profit: $11.46
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $39.12

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $213.77
Potential payout: $415.09
Potential profit: $201.32
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$6.23

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $320.89
Potential payout: $402.88
Potential profit: $81.99
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $40.89

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $307.95
Potential payout: $397.35
Potential profit: $89.4
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $5.96

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $238.38
Potential payout: $378.38
Potential profit: $140
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$41.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $33.25
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $316.75
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $280
Potential payout: $298.83
Potential profit: $18.83
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $261.55
Potential payout: $289.01
Potential profit: $27.46
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $13.01

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $16.8
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $263.2
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$5.6

No position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.77
Potential profit: $277.77
User PnL: -$175

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $154.9
Potential payout: $276.6
Potential profit: $121.7
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $24.89

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $273.99
Potential payout: $275.51
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: $3.99

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $124.09
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $148.64
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $4.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.13

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.21

Cavs position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.02

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.91

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.68

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $188.18

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.62

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.3

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.05

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.19

Frances Tiafoe position

Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.64

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.91

No position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.58

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.51

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.69

No position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.41

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.33

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.7

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.04

Yes position

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.97

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.53

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.74

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Qatar?

Yes 3.6% 46.63 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 99.9% 47.24 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Saudi Arabia 52% 46.6 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5

Over 72% 32.17 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5

Over 72% 34.97 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Yes 99.8% 23.12 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Yes 99.8% 26.13 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Yes 99.8% 26.13 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Yes 99.8% 26.13 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Yes 99.8% 26.13 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Yes 99.8% 26.13 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 56% 54.05 shares