No position
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $47
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.33
Polymarket Trader
cdefghf
0xbd65b26e4c3d4320cba28b3cf49c420a7e78854c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $76.8
- Realized PnL
- $44.63
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$13.65
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $17.4
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $12.6
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $10.47
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $2.54
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $40.25
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46%
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 69% 13 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 11% 10 shares
- Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No 39% 35 shares
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No 58% 30 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 54% 16 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 46% 13 shares
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes 42% 8 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 25% 9 shares
- Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No 99.3% 60 shares
- Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?No 3.8% 27 shares
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 95% 10 shares
- Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 11 shares